Archive (2007)

Massa Meets the Press

Today's Massa press conference started with the vets, worked its way through tax cuts, and ended with transparency. More after the break.

Massa began with a discussion of vets and their access to health care. Noting that Randy Kuhl had recently discussed veterans' benefits (and been quoted in the news), he said:

Every veteran I've spoken to is angered and frustrated by professional politicians [...] five years after starting this war, veterans are not getting the benefits promised to them. As a veteran, this is no surprise. Nothing is good enough for our veterans, and that's exactly what Randy Kuhl and George Bush are giving us. They brag about the increase in benefits, but it took a new party and new leadership to make it happen this year.

Massa used the example of a recent amendment to HR 3687, the Small Business Contracting Program Improvements Act, which he said would have hurt the ability of vets to start a new business. Massa noted that Kuhl had voted for the amendment, which was opposed by the American Legion. (Here are the relevant congressional record pages and vote.)

"The VFW and DAV gave Randy Kuhl a rating of somewhere in the vicinity of 7%," he said, and added that Kuhl just "hopes no one is watching"

Massa moved on to the alternative minimum tax, Massa noted that the recently-passed reduction to the AMT will affect 50,000 people in the 29th district, and it would have "closed a lot of the millionaire loopholes."

I asked Massa if he thought that Kuhl's charge that the bill would damage entrepreneurs was correct. He said that, for the 29th district, the 50,000 family members whose taxes would have been reduced would have seen significant increases in net family income.

The problem is multinational corporations, which donate millions to campaigns of people like Randy Kuhl, that didn't want the loopholes closed. We saw it with S-CHIP, where Randy Kuhl said he wouldn't support a [tax on tobacco]. 75% of his money came from corporate PACS last quarter.

Massa added, "How could anyone not want to give tax relief on AMT? It's a no-brainer, but they bring up these scarecrows."

I then asked Massa his take on Governor Spitzer's reversal on his drivers' license plan: "It's a shame that governors all over the country have to do the job that the Commander-in-Chief was hired to do."

It's a shame that George Bush has failed to secure our borders. It illustrates a fundamental reality that Washington is broken. They don't care about illegal immigration. People like Randy Kuhl want immigrants in the country [...] to work for sub-minimum wages. It has been five years since 9/11. This administration and its rubberstamps in Congress have failed to secure our borders.

I also asked Massa if he would follow the lead of Kirsten Gillibrand and publish his schedule on his website, and establish a grants central if he was elected.

I have great admiration for Kirsten Gillibrand. I especially like her idea that once a month her entire DC staff comes to the district and sets up tents, [calling it] "Washington on the Corner". [...] I would like to see Randy Kuhl publish his schedule. [...] When I'm in Congress, I'm going to see how open my schedule can be.

Massa said that he likes the idea of posting grants, and he wants to reach out to "find critical sources of funding that do not add to the deficit and increase quality of life in the district." However, he noted that pork-barrel spending must be brought under control, saying that Randy Kuhl is "more than happy to charge millions of dollars to our children, yet he won't raise the price of tobacco 25 cents and change."

I was the only person who asked questions on the call, but there were others on the call who did not identify themselves.

Spitzer to Drop License Plan

Governor Spitzer will be meeting with the New York Congressional Delegation today.  According to the Star-Gazette and every other paper and blog around, he will also announce that he's dropping the plan to license illegal immigrants.

Labor Boilerplate Op-Ed

The Ontario Republican notes that the recent Democrat and Chronicle Op-Ed on S-CHIP, signed by two Rochester Labor leaders, is boilerplate that's appeared in a number of other newspapers.  

The issue here isn't the content of the letter, or the fact that it's boilerplate:  talking points are talking points, and I'm sure the labor guys who signed the letter weren't the first ones to try to slip one by the editors at the D&C.  The issue is the blind reprint of the letter as an op-ed by an editorial board that is constantly trumpeting its high journalistic standards.  I thought the Republican put it well:

Now, question to the D&C Editorial Board: Is it your policy to publish cut and paste editorials, or is it too hard to do a simple Google search to verify whether the content of the editorial you have hasn't been published elsewhere?

More Town Meetings

The Elmira Star-Gazette has a new list of Randy Kuhl's town meetings.  Kuhl will hold meetings next Monday and Tuesday.  His official site also has the list by county.

A Model for Transparency

Rep. Kirsten Gillibrand is a Democrat from Albany (NY-20) in her first term.  In her first few months in office, she's started two common-sense efforts that both serve her constituents and increase transparency.

First, she's published her daily schedule on her website.  This might seem like a small thing, but she's one of a half-dozen members (and two senators) who do so.

Second, she's tried to increase the number of grant applications in her district.  According to a Albany Times-Union story,  she's had her staff launch a "grants central" section of her website to help connect constituents with available federal grants.  As I've explained here earlier, the grant process is far more transparent than earmarks, since it requires that grant applicants meet a set of requirements mandated by law and supervised by non-political federal appointees.

These are two simple, non-partisan, good government reforms.  The 29th deserves the same level of transparency from its representative.

(Thanks to the Albany Project for posting about the Times-Union story.)

A Challenge for Republicans

The recent tax vote brought a predictable outcry from Republicans.  Randy Kuhl's blog headline, "AMT - 130 Percent Tax Hike", portrays the pay-as-you-go provisions of the tax bill as an economy-depressing tax hike.  The current Republican position is that an AMT cut is a great thing, but we should just cut it without enacting a corresponding paygo tax increase.

Tax cuts, and damn the consequences, is great sloganeering, but unpleasant fiscal realities are beginning to intrude on this rosy picture.  Here's one:  the dollar is at 50-year lows compared to some other currencies.  Much of the dollar's fall is due to the need for low interest rates to weather the mortgage crisis, but some of it is simply market reaction to the inability of the United States to keep its fiscal house in order.
Here's what the Wall Street Journal says:

To understand the dollar's current woes, you have to look elsewhere -- to monetary policy and economic management. The supply of dollars in the world is ultimately controlled by a single source, the Federal Reserve. With its aggressive easing in September, and again in late October, the Fed has signaled to the world that it cares more about creating dollars in the hope of limiting U.S. credit problems than it does about the dollar's value. Investors can see this, and so they are dumping dollars and looking for other assets to hold.

[...]

Our current financial woes are in large part the result of previous monetary excess, which fueled a debt and asset boom that has become a banking bust. The way to emerge from the mess is to slowly but honestly work off the bad debt and write down the losses. The one sure way to make things worse is with more monetary excess.
When the Journal talks about "monetary excess", they're referring to the insanely low interest rates that were used to stimulate the economy earlier this decade.  Those interest rates fueled the mortgage boom.  As a Nobel-Prize-winning economist put it in this month's Vanity Fair:

[...] the job of economic stimulation fell to the Federal Reserve Board, which stepped on the accelerator in a historically unprecedented way, driving interest rates down to 1 percent. In real terms, taking inflation into account, interest rates actually dropped to negative 2 percent. The predictable result was a consumer spending spree. [...] Credit was shoveled out the door, and subprime mortgages were made available to anyone this side of life support. Credit-card debt mounted to a whopping $900 billion by the summer of 2007.
This economist was the head of President Clinton's board of economic advisors, so Republicans might want to be skeptical about his views of the economy.  But it looks to me that he and the Journal are saying the same thing:  lowering interest rates is a trick that isn't going to work much longer. 

So what does this have to do with tax cuts?  Simply this: we must borrow money to finance tax cuts.   And the markets are going to require that we raise interest rates if we want to keep borrowing.  So it will cost a lot more to borrow the money to finance tax cuts in the future.  That old saw, "mortgaging our children's future" takes on new meaning when the mortgage rate keeps going up.

Here's a chilling passage from the Vanity Fair article:

A large portion [of the monetary crisis] will take decades to fix—and that’s assuming the political will to do so exists both in the White House and in Congress. Think of the interest we are paying, year after year, on the almost $4 trillion of increased debt burden—even at 5 percent, that’s an annual payment of $200 billion, two Iraq wars a year forever. Think of the taxes that future governments will have to levy to repay even a fraction of the debt we have accumulated.
Randy Kuhl, and other members of his party, would rather not think about it.  If raising taxes is taboo, what's the alternative?   This is the challenge for Republicans, and all their anti-tax rhetoric isn't going to change the fix we're in.

Tax Relief or Tax Increase?

Randy Kuhl voted against the Temporary Tax Relief Act of 2008, in a party-line vote this afternoon.  Like all tax legislation, this bill is complex.  The Democratic line on the bill is that it rolls back the Alternative Minimum Tax for a year, and finances it by increasing taxes on private equity fund managers and other rich folks.  Representative Kuhl's view is that it is "an egregious tax hike on entrepreneurs and risk-takers who invest and create family-wage jobs."

The independent site Washington Watch, which is run by a member of the Cato Institute, a conservative/libertarian think tank, calculates that the bill will save the average US family $91.50 from their tax bill.  The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) analysis [pdf] says that: 

[...]the bill would treat certain income of partners from performing investment management services (called “carried interest”) as ordinary income for tax purposes, rather than as capital gains, which JCT estimates would increase revenues by $25.6 billion over the 2008-2017 period.
Translation: private equity fund management fees that are being taxed at 15% will soon be taxed at 38%. 

The question is whether private equity funds are "entrepreneurs and risk-takers."  The point of capital gains taxation is to reward those who risk their money in a longer-term investment. Private equity managers have structured their compensation so that it looks like a capital gain in order to get a lower tax rate. I don't think that's the kind of entrepreneurial cleverness the tax code is meant to promote.

Voting and the Feds

I quit posting on voting technology because it looked like New York had wisely decided to stick with its proven, blessedly analog voting machines for the near future.  The US Department of Justice wants none of that, however, and is going to court to force New York to use digital voting machines next year.  New York has two weeks to file its response to the DOJ's motion in federal court.

The chaos of fast-tracking an electronic voting system during a Presidential election year is staggering to contemplate.

Kuhl in the News

The New York Times has a story about the House's efforts to condemn or stop Governor Spitzer's drivers license changes.  Kuhl is co-sponsoring the legislation with Tom Latham (R-IA-4) to condemn the practice of issuing licenses to illegal immigrants.  Peter King, a Republican from Long Island, is submitting a bill to outlaw the practice.

Kuhl's vote to override the water bill veto made the Elmira Star-Gazette.  And his St Bonaventure earmarks are appreciated by St Bonaventure.

Recent Vote Roundup

Randy Kuhl voted for the United States-Peru Trade Promotion Act, a free-trade agreement.  This agreement is interesting because it passed on a split vote in a political climate that is becoming more hostile to open trade.  One of the reasons the bill passed was the inclusion of a provision for more regulation of Peru's timber industry.  According to the Economist magazine (subscription req'd):

Greens say that under the new system, just like the old, much of the timber exported from Peru (officially $200m last year) is cut illegally, with the connivance of the authorities. They have won the support of the Democrats in the American Congress, who insisted on inserting a “timber annexe” in the free-trade agreement with Peru. This gives Peru 18 months to hire more forestry inspectors, set up a stronger forestry regulator and stiffen penalties for illegal logging. It will also allow American officials to halt suspicious shipments at the border, and to visit Peru to see where they come from.

In addition to the notion that free trade "exports jobs", it also is criticized for enabling unsustainable exploitation of natural resources.  If Peru actually enforces the treaty (a big "if" considering their track record), at least the latter criticism might be addressed.

Kuhl voted against the Homeowners Defense Act, which appropriated money to shore up state insurance programs that protect against natural catastrophes.

Kuhl Votes for ENDA

Randy Kuhl was the only Western New York Republican to vote for the Employment Non-Discrimination Act.  The bill outlaws discrimination based on sexual orientation.

This vote was a decent act, and probably a political risk.  Kuhl deserves respect for supporting the bill in committee and on the floor of the House.

Kuhl News: Immigrants and Earmarks

Exile at Rochesterturning, who endures the D&C blogs, found a nugget there:  Randy Kuhl has written a letter to his colleagues urging them to condemn states that issue drivers' licenses to illegal immigrants.  His colleague, Tom Latham (R-IA-4), plans to introduce a bill to that effect next week.

Rep. Kuhl's Elmira College earmark in the House Labor and HHS bill got more play in the Elmira-Star Gazette today. That earmark, which the S-G says was $200K, but an independent watchdog says was $100K, was part of a bill that passed in July without Randy Kuhl's vote.  The conference report of the same bill, which is 853 pages of unsearchable text, passed yesterday with Kuhl's vote.  Since Eric Massa has been making much of Kuhl's habit of voting against bills that contain his earmarks, Kuhl can now claim that he did actually vote for the bill in its final form.