As of 2 p.m., the turnout in Monroe County was at 29%. It was 28% at the same time in 2004 2002. The suburban number is 31%. Readers are reporting high turnout in the South in the comments.
I don't want to read too much into either of those numbers, but Monroe is the key to a Massa win. If Republicans are staying home, and Democrats and Independents are turning out in higher numbers, then it is still good news for Massa. If Republicans are turning out big in the South, then Massa's in trouble.
Rochester's WHAM television has picked up the story of the "endorsement" by the Mayor of Canandaigua, a Democrat, which appeared on the Kuhl website for a few hours yesterday. Her Honor says that she did no such thing, and the Kuhl campaign pulled the endorsement. Since the endorsement has disappeared from the Kuhl site, I dug through my cache and also checked my feedwhip account to confirm that it was there yesterday. The Kuhl campaign isn't denying it, and says it was a mistake.
I'm a registered Democrat in Monroe county, and received two calls in the last 24 hours. The first was last night, from a live Massa volunteer reminding us to vote. The second was a robo-call at about 11 a.m. from Chuck Schumer on behalf of Hillary Clinton.
I can't get too worked up about the robo-calls or the "endorsement". I don't think either of those things will greatly affect the outcome of the election.
Comments
How do you recommend an out-of-stater follow returns tonight? Any media in Corning or Rochester stream??? Thanks for these updates. I agree: two years ago, in the GOP primary, people were amazed--Mark Assini himself said this, I think--that during the primary alone "people inSteuben turned out like it was a general election." I guess they CAN crank it out when they want. I've seen various speculation of Kuhl at 55. We will see....
I would probably check out the election coverage on Channel 13. They seem to be the best news station.
CATTARAGUS--Heavy Voting??!! That C O U L D be good news for Massa. In years gone by, at least when Jamestownof that county wasincluded in the district, that county--along with t he city of Elmira and often Hornell--were the only sources of strong Demo. votes. In fact, though it was a special election, Cattaragus carried native Jamestown Mayor Stan Lundine to upset victory during a special Congressional election there post-Watergate.
CATTARAGUS--Heavy Voting??!! That C O U L D be good news for Massa. In years gone by, at least when Jamestownof that county wasincluded in the district, that county--along with t he city of Elmira and often Hornell--were the only sources of strong Demo. votes. In fact, though it was a special election, Cattaragus carried native Jamestown Mayor Stan Lundine to upset victory during a special Congressional election there post-Watergate.
I'll be shocked if turn out is higher this year than 2004. Traditionally, it goes way down in non-presidential years.
Out of stater, wxxi.org also streams.
Rottenchester -
I voted today and saw very few people in the my county (Allegany), but then I did not expect many.
As of 2 p.m., the turnout in Monroe County was at 29%. It was 28% at the same time in 2004.
Actually, they said it was the same roughly in 2002 which is quite different. (I think they may have changed the article, because I could have sworn it said 2004 earlier).
Thanks - I fixed it.
What I think happened is the former Mayor of Canandaigua had a letter in the paper endorsing Kuhl. An Aide saw that, made an (honest?) mistake and put it on the web site.
Also Channel 13 will have live results on their 13wham.com site.
Also the turn out in the PY area seems to be high, too. At 4:00 i was #239 in my polling site. 2004 they had 530 voters, and that was a Presidential year. I also call the Democratic non-voters as of 6:00 and I have very few people to call.
A n y m o r e t u r n o u t u p d a t e s ? So-so here in the sticks---which isn't a bad thing for the Dems' chances, I imagine.
Anyone know if turnout has been good in Hornell. Hornell usually votes Democratic--not sure in Barend race--and could help hold the line in Steuben.